Monday, November 9, 2015

2015 Fresno Grizzlies Offensive Efficiency

WTHB contributor Jeremy Schmidt has started a new blog in which he will be Scouting the Texas League. His first post focused on the 2015 Corpus Christi Hooks Offensive Efficiency. He has offered to look at the other Astros affiliates to see how the players performed offensively. First up, he'll be looking at the Fresno Grizzlies.


2015 Fresno Grizzlies Offensive Efficiency
By Jeremy Schmidt ( @Jeremy_IP_TTM )

The 2015 Fresno Grizzlies were an offensive juggernaut for good stretches of the season on their way to the AAA National Championship. This is a look at how efficient the individual Astros farmhands were over the course of their time with Fresno. Essentially I boiled down the basic offensive and base running statistics readily available for minor league players and created a formula that shows how well each player controlled what they could control. I choose to leave Runs and Runs Batted In out of the formula because those stats are largely based on team performance. For the formula see this post on the Hooks.
  1. Matt Duffy 46.76
  2. L.J. Hoes 45.56
  3. Max Stassi 40.06
  4. Tony Kemp 38.91
For reference the Grizzlies as a whole had an OE score of 44.16. The PCL average was 42.91, so the Grizzlies were roughly 3% more efficient than the league. Four players were better than 20% more efficient than the league average player. Domingo Santana and Tyler White both had incredible seasons each posting an OPS over 1.000. Singleton continues to show his game is power and patience. Preston Tucker gave a preview to his rookie season. League MVP Matt Duffy was only the 6th most efficient player on his team. Carlos Correa’s power did not present in his short AAA stint. Aplin and Fontana both walk a ton but don’t hit for much power, Fontana was hurt by a terrible base stealing year going only 6 for 17. Presley and Grossman underperformed what you would expect from guys with big league experience. Tony Kemp struggled to adjust to AAA, this could be an example of getting BABIP’d as his walk and strikeout numbers aren’t out of line with his track record, but I don’t have those numbers.

Ivy Leaguer Joe Sclafani’s OE number reflects his extreme lack of power this season. Matt Dominguez is the Brewers problem now. Tyler Heineman is around for his work behind the plate not at it. [Note from Jayne: I disagree with Jeremy on this point. Heineman had a slow start at AAA, but I think his offense will ultimately prove to be more than enough to make him above average offensively for the position.]

Stay tuned for more covering the other Astros farm clubs.

1 comment:

  1. Let me rephrase, Heineman is still with the Astros because of his work behind the plate. I don't think his below average power fits the Astros' ideal for a catcher in the majors. No doubt he can be a serviceable backup in the majors for years, I just don't think it's in Houston.