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2015 Fresno Grizzlies
Offensive Efficiency
By Jeremy Schmidt ( @Jeremy_IP_TTM )
The 2015 Fresno Grizzlies were an
offensive juggernaut for good stretches of the season on their way to
the AAA National Championship. This is a look at how efficient the
individual Astros farmhands were over the course of their time with
Fresno. Essentially I boiled down the basic offensive and base
running statistics readily available for minor league players and
created a formula that shows how well each player controlled what
they could control. I choose to leave Runs and Runs Batted In out of
the formula because those stats are largely based on team
performance. For the formula see this
post on the Hooks.
- Domingo Santana 58.47
- Tyler White 57.17
- Jon Singleton 53.04
- Preston Tucker 52.76
- Jonathan Villar 47.39
- Matt Duffy 46.76
- L.J. Hoes 45.56
- Carlos Correa 44.95
- Andrew Aplin 44.80
- Nolan Fontana 41.76
- Alex Presley 41.20
- Max Stassi 40.06
- Tony Kemp 38.91
- Robbie Grossman 38.30
- Joe Sclafani 36.96
- Matt Dominguez 34.54
- Tyler Heineman 33.86
For reference the Grizzlies as a whole
had an OE score of 44.16. The PCL average was 42.91, so the Grizzlies
were roughly 3% more efficient than the league. Four players were
better than 20% more efficient than the league average player.
Domingo Santana and Tyler White both had incredible seasons each
posting an OPS over 1.000. Singleton continues to show his game is
power and patience. Preston Tucker gave a preview to his rookie
season. League MVP Matt Duffy was only the 6th most
efficient player on his team. Carlos Correa’s power did not
present in his short AAA stint. Aplin and Fontana both walk a ton
but don’t hit for much power, Fontana was hurt by a terrible base
stealing year going only 6 for 17. Presley and Grossman
underperformed what you would expect from guys with big league
experience. Tony Kemp struggled to adjust to AAA, this could be an
example of getting BABIP’d as his walk and strikeout numbers aren’t
out of line with his track record, but I don’t have those numbers.
Ivy Leaguer Joe Sclafani’s OE number
reflects his extreme lack of power this season. Matt Dominguez is
the Brewers problem now. Tyler Heineman is around for his work
behind the plate not at it. [Note from Jayne: I disagree with Jeremy on this point. Heineman had a slow start at AAA, but I think his offense will ultimately prove to be more than enough to make him above average offensively for the position.]
Stay tuned for more covering the other
Astros farm clubs.
Let me rephrase, Heineman is still with the Astros because of his work behind the plate. I don't think his below average power fits the Astros' ideal for a catcher in the majors. No doubt he can be a serviceable backup in the majors for years, I just don't think it's in Houston.
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