Showing posts with label NL West. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NL West. Show all posts

Saturday, January 26, 2019

NL West 2018 Draft Summary

In conjunction with the MLB Draft Deep Dive series that I've been rolling out over the last few weeks (see links below), the following is a down and dirty summary of the early 2018 draft results for the NL West.

NATIONAL LEAGUE WEST 2018 DRAFT SUMMARY

PITCHING

Pitcher Breakdown
SFG: 19 Signed | 14 C | 5 JC/CC | 16 RHP | 3 LHP
ARI: 18 Signed | 17 C | 1 HS | 17 RHP | 1 LHP
COL: 18 Signed | 18 C | 10 RHP | 8 LHP
SDP: 16 Signed | 10 C | 1 JC/CC | 5 HS | 9 RHP | 7 LHP
LAD: 13 Signed | 10 C | 1 JC/CC | 2 HS | 8 RHP | 5 LHP

Cumulative Stats for 2018 Draft Class (Pitchers)
ARI: 3.09 ERA | 1.230 WHIP | 422 IP | 17 Active Pitchers
LAD: 3.65 ERA | 1.306 WHIP | 285.2 IP | 11 Active Pitchers
COL: 3.70 ERA | 1.322 WHIP | 435.2 IP | 16 Active Pitchers
SFG: 4.04 ERA | 1.348 WHIP | 437 IP | 18 Active Pitchers
SDP: 4.09 ERA | 1.345 WHIP | 297.1 IP | 13 Active Pitchers

Position Player Breakdown
LAD: 19 Signed | 15 C | 4 JC/CC | 2 1B | 2 2B | 3B | SS | 10 OF | 3 C
SFG: 16 Signed | 9 C | 3 JC/CC | 4 HS | 3 3B | 3 SS | 6 OF | 4 C
COL: 15 Signed | 13 C | 1 JC/CC | 1 HS | 1B | 4 2B | 2 3B | SS | 5 OF | 2 C
SDP: 13 Signed | 9 C | 4 HS | 2 1B | 2 2B | 3B | 2 SS | 5 OF | C
ARI: 11 Signed | 9 C | 2 HS | 2 1B | 2 2B | 3B | 2 SS | 2 OF | 2 C

Cumulative Stats for 2018 Draft Class (Position Players)
COL: .291/.371/.479/.850 | 15 Active Players
ARI: .288/.374/.440/.815 | 11 Active Players
LAD: .275/.367/.433/.800 | 19 Active Players
SDP: .264/.349/.379/.728 | 13 Active Players
SFG: .248/.333/.384/.717 | 16 Active Players

MLB Pipeline Top 30 Prospects
ARI: 6 Total (2 C RHP, HS RHP, HS SS, C OF*, HS OF*)
SDP: 5 Total (C RHP, HS LHP*, C SS, HS SS, C OF)
SFG: 4 Total (C RHP*, C RHP, JC/CC RHP, C C*)
LAD: 3 Total (C RHP, HS RHP, C LHP)
COL: 3 Total (C LHP*, HS 1B*, C SS)

*Top 10

NL WEST DRAFT CLASS NOTES: PITCHERS

The Diamondbacks pitching class put up the best numbers of this group which is not surprising given that all but one of these players were college picks. I would be more impressed had the D'Backs challenged any of these top picks to the higher levels (the 18th round pick was the only player to pitch above Short Season A), but they did have a good number of pitchers who saw a lot of action and that should help them get a jump start on their professional development. Similarly, the Colorado's entire class consisted of college players and none of them were promoted to the higher levels. Three of their five top pitching draft picks were not promoted beyond rookie league clubs (and the other two from the top five didn't play at all) which makes their good cumulative numbers a little less impressive. But this group as a whole also made enough appearances to really get their feet wet as professionals. The Giants pitching class was a mix of college and juco. A few of their higher picks had pedestrian starts to their professional career while several mid and lower round picks performed extremely well. San Francisco's 28th, 31st, 35th and 39th round picks were all promoted to High A by the end of the season for limited time with mostly good results. The performance of some of these mid and lower round pitchers could portend some nice depth to this class. Los Angeles drafted the fewest pitchers from this group and of that already smaller class, two pitchers did not appear in 2018 and one was traded in January 2019. However, the Dodgers were fairly aggressive with those who did play, promoting five of them to Full Season A with mostly good results. The Padres were also aggressive with promoting players, including the promotion of their top pick (a high school lefty) to Full Season A. However, three players from this class didn't play in 2018 and, of those who did play, only two pitched more than 30 innings. I'll be interested to see how these pitchers fare when faced with a full workload in 2019. Overall, I would give Arizona the edge on initial results albeit a very slight edge.

NL WEST DRAFT CLASS NOTES: POSITION PLAYERS

As to position players, Colorado had the best overall numbers as they probably should have given that the group is very college heavy and no one was promoted beyond Short Season A. Their top prospects, including a high school first baseman, got off to a very good start as well. The Diamondbacks had the smallest group, but it was a very solid group overall including excellent starts from those in the Top 30 prospect group. However, none of the players in this group were promoted to full season clubs. Two of those top prospects were high school players; all remaining players in the class were college picks. Conversely, the Dodgers had the largest class of position players. Their cumulative numbers fall in the middle of the group, but actually play up since Los Angeles was much more aggressive than the other clubs in promoting several of these players to a higher level of competition. This class was made up of 15 college players and four juco players. The Padres position players, a mix of college and high school players, had somewhat lackluster debuts with a few exceptions, most notably two of their Top 30 prospects, both shortstops (one high school and one college). Two players of the group were promoted to full season teams. Aside from their number one overall top prospect (C Joey Bart), I was thoroughly underwhelmed by the initial results from San Francisco's draft class. Yes, almost half of the group are high school and juco players, but a total of 11 players were not promoted beyond rookie level and six players didn't make it over the Mendoza line. Obviously, they can all develop into very good players, but the initial results were not impressive. I will give the Rockies the slightest of edges on initial results, but I like the depth of the Dodgers group and the high risk/high reward potential of the Diamondbacks high school draft picks as well.

Arizona Diamondbacks Draft Review
Colorado Rockies Draft Review
Los Angeles Dodgers Draft Review
San Diego Padres Draft Review
San Francisco Giants Draft Review

Friday, January 25, 2019

MLB Draft Deep Dive: San Francisco Giants

In order to satisfy my innate curiosity as it pertains to the MLB Draft, I have taken a comprehensive look at the 2018 draft for each of the 30 MLB organizations. But I also wanted to get an idea of what each of the teams had done for the 20 years prior so that is included as a prelude to the 2018 information. I'll be looking first at each team in each division, starting with the National League East, and then I'll follow up with a an overall look at both the historical draft results to date and the early 2018 results.

My goal is to get a better idea of the big picture as to how the systems compare in terms of draft results, as well as how a good or bad draft class affects a system, the overall impact of the draft on the baseball talent pool and the circuitous ways in which draft picks are used to bolster a system for which they may never even play. This project is just a first step. I intend to expand on this information over time (including a later revisit of the 2018 class and the addition of the 2019 class next offseason) and I will share my findings as I do so.

NATIONAL LEAGUE WEST

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

Historical Draft Results from 1998 through 2017 (TO DATE)
Drafted 944 | Signed 635 | Pitchers Signed 334 | Position Players Signed 301
Total WAR 255
Total Players to MLB 115

Note: The following players are listed at the position at which they were originally drafted.

1998 | 7 to MLB | WAR 3.0 | High WAR 1.8, LHP Erasmo Ramirez, 11th rd
1999 | 3 to MLB | WAR 2.5 | High WAR 3.5, RHP Jerome Williams, 1st rd
2000 | 7 to MLB | WAR (0.3) | High WAR 0.5, LHP Erick Threets, 7th rd
2001 | 8 to MLB | WAR 9.8 | High WAR 10.0, LHP Noah Lowry, 1st rd
2002 | 8 to MLB | WAR 40.9 | High WAR 29.1, RHP Matt Cain, 1st rd
2003 | 8 to MLB | WAR 13.9 | High WAR 5.6, RHP Brian Wilson, 24th rd
2004 | 5 to MLB | WAR 0.2 | High WAR 2.4, LHP Jonathan Sanchez, 27th rd
2005 | 5 to MLB | WAR 9.1 | High WAR 10.2, RHP Sergio Romo, 28th rd
2006 | 7 to MLB | WAR 16.2 | High WAR 19.7, RHP Tim Lincecum, 1st rd
2007 | 9 to MLB | WAR 36.9 | High WAR 34.2, LHP Madison Bumgarner, 1st rd
2008 | 8 to MLB | WAR 63.0 | High WAR 41.3, C Buster Posey, 1st rd
2009 | 7 to MLB | WAR 29.1 | High WAR 22.7, 1B Brandon Belt, 5th rd
2010 | 7 to MLB | WAR 7.6 | High WAR 5.9, 2B Adam Duvall, 11th rd
2011 | 10 to MLB | WAR 11.1 | High WAR 7.0, SS Joe Panik, 1st rd
2012 | 6 to MLB | WAR 12.3 | High WAR 8.7, SS Matt Duffy, 18th rd
2013 | 4 to MLB | WAR (1.6) | High WAR 0.0, RHP Dan Slania, 5th rd
2014 | 3 to MLB | WAR 0.3 | High WAR 0.3, C Aramis Garcia (2nd rd) & OF Austin Slater (8th rd)
2015 | 3 to MLB | WAR 1.0 | High WAR 1.1, OF Steven Duggar, 6th rd
2016 | 0 to MLB | WAR 0.0 | High WAR N/A
2017 | 0 to MLB | WAR 0.0 | High WAR N/A

The highest WAR to date, both individual and total, is from 2008 with C Buster Posey (1st round, 41.3 WAR) at the top of the pack. Posey and SS Brandon Crawford (4th round 2008, 23.3 WAR) have both played their entire careers for the Giants. Posey was the National League Rookie of the Year in 2010, NL MVP in 2012 and is a six-time All-Star. He has also collected four Silver Sluggers, one Gold Glove and three World Series rings (2010, 2012, 2014). Crawford didn't make his debut until 2011 so he only has two rings, but he has three Gold Gloves and a Silver Slugger to go with his two All-Star nods.

2018 DRAFT
40 Drafted | 35 Signed | 19 Pitchers | 16 Position Players
25 College | 23 Signed | 14 Pitchers | 9 Position Players
10 JC/CC | 8 Signed | 5 Pitchers | 3 Position Players
5 HS/NS | 4 Signed | 0 Pitchers | 4 Position Players

Notable: The Giants signed their first 16 draft picks and 32 of their top 33 picks. The top holdout was 17th round University of Mississippi OF Ryan Olenek.

PITCHERS
Of the 19 pitchers signed (16 RHP, 3 LHP), all but one (college lefty Bryce Tucker, 14th round) logged at least some playing time. Four players were promoted beyond the Short Season A* level (all to Advanced A). Three of the pitchers debuted on MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospect list for the Giants, one as a Top 10 prospect.

Top Prospects

🔟 RHP Sean Hjelle, 2nd round, University of Kentucky, SSA
21.1 IP | 12 G / 12 GS | 5.06 ERA | 1.313 WHIP | 4 BB : 22 K

RHP Jake Wong, 3rd round, Grand Canyon University, SSA
27.1 IP | 11 G / 11 GS | 2.30 ERA | 1.244 WHIP | 6 BB : 27 K

RHP Blake Rivera, 4th round, Wallace State Community College, SSA
19 IP | 9 G / 8 GS | 6.16 ERA | 1.632 WHIP | 11 BB : 14 K

🔟 Top 10 Prospect

Noteworthy Debut

RHP Ryan Walker, 31st round, Washington State University, A+
32.1 IP | 20 G / 0 GS | 2.51 ERA | 1.052 WHIP | 6 BB : 31 K

In total, the Giants 2018 Draft pitchers combined for a 4.04 ERA and a 1.348 WHIP over 437 innings as compared to the 3.67 ERA and 1.299 WHIP (average of 376.2 innings per affiliate) compiled by the total 2018 Draft class in 2018.

POSITION PLAYERS
All 16 position players signed (3 3B, 3 SS, 6 OF, 4 C) logged at least some playing time. One player was promoted beyond the Short Season A* level (to Full Season A). One player debuted on MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospect list for the Giants as a Top 10 prospect.

Top Prospects

🔟 C Joey Bart (R/R), 1st round, Georgia Institute of Technology, SSA
51 G | .294/.364/.588/.952 | 13 BB : 47 K | 15 2B / 3 3B / 13 HR | 40 RBI

🔟 Top 10 Prospect

Noteworthy Debut

3B David Villar (R/R), 11th round, University of South Florida, SSA
62 G | .282/.342/.535/.877 | 20 BB : 72 K | 23 2B / 13 HR | 47 RBI
(Villar led the entire 2018 Draft class in doubles)

In total, the Giants 2018 Draft position players combined to hit .248/.333/.384/.717 as compared to .261/.349/.386/.735 batting line compiled by the total 2018 Draft class in 2018.

*Notes on players include the highest level achieved for the 2018 season using the following abbreviations:
Rk = Rookie
SSA = Short Season A
A = Full Season A
A+ = Full Season A Advanced

GENERAL NOTES: Information was obtained from Baseball-Reference and the MLB Draft History site. The occasional discrepancy in historical information was resolved to the best of my ability by delving into the player information available on B-R. On the historical information, the player position in the totals reflects the position at which the player was drafted (and not any subsequent change of position). On the 2018 information, the player position reflects the primary position played in 2018 for all players who were signed and the position at which the player was drafted for those who did not sign. Prospect listings on MLB Pipeline were as of late December and may not reflect any subsequent changes to that site.

PREVIOUSLY

NL EAST
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
NL East 2018 Draft Summary

NL CENTRAL
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
NL Central 2018 Draft Summary

NL WEST
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres

COMING NEXT
NL West 2018 Draft Summary

Thursday, January 24, 2019

MLB Draft Deep Dive: San Diego Padres

In order to satisfy my innate curiosity as it pertains to the MLB Draft, I have taken a comprehensive look at the 2018 draft for each of the 30 MLB organizations. But I also wanted to get an idea of what each of the teams had done for the 20 years prior so that is included as a prelude to the 2018 information. I'll be looking first at each team in each division, starting with the National League East, and then I'll follow up with a an overall look at both the historical draft results to date and the early 2018 results.

My goal is to get a better idea of the big picture as to how the systems compare in terms of draft results, as well as how a good or bad draft class affects a system, the overall impact of the draft on the baseball talent pool and the circuitous ways in which draft picks are used to bolster a system for which they may never even play. This project is just a first step. I intend to expand on this information over time (including a later revisit of the 2018 class and the addition of the 2019 class next offseason) and I will share my findings as I do so.

NATIONAL LEAGUE WEST

SAN DIEGO PADRES

Historical Draft Results from 1998 through 2017 (TO DATE)
Drafted 912 | Signed 623 | Pitchers Signed 306 | Position Players Signed 317
Total WAR 282.3
Total Players to MLB 118

Note: The following players are listed at the position at which they were originally drafted.

1998 | 7 to MLB | WAR 12.7 | High WAR 8.0, RHP Brian Lawrence, 17th rd
1999 | 4 to MLB | WAR 37.4 | High WAR 39.6, RHP Jake Peavy, 15th rd
2000 | 6 to MLB | WAR 3.4 | High WAR 3.8, 3B Xavier Nady, 2nd rd
2001 | 4 to MLB | WAR 22.2 | High WAR 18.3, SS Jason Bartlett, 13th rd
2002 | 5 to MLB | WAR 10.7 | High WAR 8.5, SS Khalil Greene, 1st rd
2003 | 6 to MLB | WAR 3.8 | High WAR 3.7, RHP Tim Stauffer, 1st rd
2004 | 5 to MLB | WAR 10.4 | High WAR 4.4, RHP Brandon Kintzler, 40th rd
2005 | 8 to MLB | WAR 46.0 | High WAR 26.1, 3B Chase Headley, 2nd rd
2006 | 7 to MLB | WAR 32.6 | High WAR 15.7, 3B David Freese, 9th rd
2007 | 10 to MLB | WAR 38.3 | High WAR 33.6, RHP Corey Kluber, 4th rd
2008 | 14 to MLB | WAR 20.9 | High WAR 12.7, 3B Logan Forsythe, 1st rd
2009 | 6 to MLB | WAR 1.4 | High WAR 3.6, RHP Miles Mikolos, 7th rd
2010 | 6 to MLB | WAR 12.2 | High WAR 10.9, 2B Jedd Gyorko, 2nd rd
2011 | 11 to MLB | WAR 6.3 | High WAR 3.9, RHP Joe Ross, 1st rd
2012 | 5 to MLB | WAR 10.4 | High WAR 6.2, OF Mallex Smith, 5th rd
2013 | 6 to MLB | WAR 4.8 | High WAR 3.7, OF Hunter Renfroe, 1st rd
2014 | 2 to MLB | WAR 10.8 | High WAR 10.4, SS Trea Turner, 1st rd
2015 | 4 to MLB | WAR (2.2) | High WAR 0.1, RHP Trey Wingenter, 17th rd
2016 | 2 to MLB | WAR 0.2 | High WAR 0.5, LHP Joey Lucchesi, 4th rd
2017 | 0 to MLB | WAR 0.0 | High WAR N/A

The highest WAR to date is that of RHP Jake Peavy (1999, 15th round, 39.6 WAR). Peavy played for the Padres for eight seasons, earning two All-Star nods and the National League Cy Young Award in 2007, before being traded to the White Sox in July 2009. Peavy was named an All-Star for the third time in 2012 while with the White Sox and won World Series hardware in 2013 (Boston) and 2014 (Giants) before hanging it up at the end of the 2016 season.

The total high WAR to date is from 2005, with 3B Chase Headley (2nd round, 26.1 WAR), OF Will Venable (7th round, 12.5 WAR) and C Nick Hundley (2nd round, 7.2 WAR) the most productive members of the class. All three of these players spent several years playing for the Padres, providing San Diego with a solid return on the draft.

2018 DRAFT
41 Drafted | 29 Signed | 16 Pitchers | 13 Position Players
20 College | 19 Signed | 10 Pitchers | 9 Position Players
3 JC/CC | 1 Signed | 1 Pitcher | 0 Position Players
18 HS/NS | 9 Signed | 5 Pitcher | 4 Position Players

Notable: The Padres received one additional draft pick for Competitive Balance (Round A) and one additional draft pick for Competitive Balance (Round B) as well through a trade with the Twins, but forfeited their second round pick by signing free agent 1B Eric Hosmer. San Diego failed to sign three of their top 20 picks with the top holdout being 13th round Illinois HS LHP Antoine Kelly.

PITCHERS
Of the 16 pitchers signed (9 RHP, 7 LHP), all but three logged at least some playing time. Seven of the pitchers were promoted beyond the Short Season A* level (five to Full Season A and two to Advanced A). Two debuted on MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospect list for the Padres, one as a Top 10 prospect.

Top Prospects

🔟 LHP Ryan Weathers, 1st round, Loretta HS (TN), A
18.1 IP | 7 G / 7 GS | 3.44 ERA | 1.255 WHIP | 4 BB : 18 K

RHP Dylan Coleman, 4th round, Missouri State University, A
22.2 IP | 18 G / 0 GS | 3.18 ERA | 1.368 WHIP | 11 BB : 29 K | 4 Saves

🔟 Top 10 Prospect

Noteworthy Debut

RHP Gabe Mosser, 27th round, Shippensburg University of Pennsylvania, A
42.1 IP | 19 G / 0 GS | 1.70 ERA | 1.039 WHIP | 10 BB : 59 K

In total, the Padres 2018 Draft pitchers combined for a 4.09 ERA and a 1.345 WHIP over 297.1 innings as compared to the 3.67 ERA and 1.299 WHIP (average of 376.2 innings per affiliate) compiled by the total 2018 Draft class in 2018.

POSITION PLAYERS
All 13 position players signed (2 1B, 2 2B, 3B, 2 SS, 5 OF, C) logged at least some playing time. Two were promoted beyond the Short Season A* level (one to Full Season A and one to Advanced A). Three of the position players debuted on MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospect list for the Padres.

Top Prospects

SS Xavier Edwards (S/R), 1st round, North Broward Prep HS (FL), SSA
45 G | .346/.453/.409/.862 | 31 BB : 25 K | 22 SB : 1 CS

OF Grant Little (R/R), 2nd round, Texas Tech University, SSA
39 G | .262/.351/.315/.666 | 20 BB : 28 K

SS Owen Miller (R/R), 3rd round, Illinois State University, A
75 G | .336/.386/.460/.846 | 19 BB : 41 K | 19 2B / 3 3B / 4 HR

Noteworthy Debut

1B Nick Gatewood (L/R), 11th round, Georgia State University, SSA
60 G | .275/.315/.429/.744 | 14 BB : 59 K | 20 2B / 3B / 5 HR
(Gatewood played most of his games at DH)

In total, the Padres 2018 Draft position players combined to hit .264/.349/.379/.728 as compared to .261/.349/.386/.735 batting line compiled by the total 2018 Draft class in 2018.

*Notes on players include the highest level achieved for the 2018 season using the following abbreviations:
Rk = Rookie
SSA = Short Season A
A = Full Season A
A+ = Full Season A Advanced

GENERAL NOTES: Information was obtained from Baseball-Reference and the MLB Draft History site. The occasional discrepancy in historical information was resolved to the best of my ability by delving into the player information available on B-R. On the historical information, the player position in the totals reflects the position at which the player was drafted (and not any subsequent change of position). On the 2018 information, the player position reflects the primary position played in 2018 for all players who were signed and the position at which the player was drafted for those who did not sign. Prospect listings on MLB Pipeline were as of late December and may not reflect any subsequent changes to that site.

PREVIOUSLY

NL EAST
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
NL East 2018 Draft Summary

NL CENTRAL
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
NL Central 2018 Draft Summary

NL WEST
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers

COMING NEXT
San Francisco Giants

Wednesday, January 23, 2019

MLB Draft Deep Dive: Los Angeles Dodgers

In order to satisfy my innate curiosity as it pertains to the MLB Draft, I have taken a comprehensive look at the 2018 draft for each of the 30 MLB organizations. But I also wanted to get an idea of what each of the teams had done for the 20 years prior so that is included as a prelude to the 2018 information. I'll be looking first at each team in each division, starting with the National League East, and then I'll follow up with a an overall look at both the historical draft results to date and the early 2018 results.

My goal is to get a better idea of the big picture as to how the systems compare in terms of draft results, as well as how a good or bad draft class affects a system, the overall impact of the draft on the baseball talent pool and the circuitous ways in which draft picks are used to bolster a system for which they may never even play. This project is just a first step. I intend to expand on this information over time (including a later revisit of the 2018 class and the addition of the 2019 class next offseason) and I will share my findings as I do so.

NATIONAL LEAGUE WEST

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

Historical Draft Results from 1998 through 2017 (TO DATE)
Drafted 935 | Signed 553 | Pitchers Signed 275 | Position Players Signed 278
Total WAR 299.5
Total Players to MLB 86

Note: The following players are listed at the position at which they were originally drafted.

1998 | 3 to MLB | WAR 9.4 | High WAR 10.2, C David Ross, 7th rd
1999 | 5 to MLB | WAR 32.5 | High WAR 31.6, OF Shane Victorino, 6th rd
2000 | 5 to MLB | WAR 1.5 | High WAR 4.6, RHP Joel Hanrahan, 2nd rd
2001 | 1 to MLB | WAR 11.2 | High WAR 11.2, OF Edwin Jackson, 6th rd
2002 | 6 to MLB | WAR 62.3 | High WAR 37.1, 2B Russell Martin, 17th rd
2003 | 9 to MLB | WAR 47.4 | High WAR 22.2, OF Matt Kemp, 6th rd
2004 | 5 to MLB | WAR 10.0 | High WAR 2.6, RHP Javy Guerra, 4th rd
2005 | 8 to MLB | WAR 1.3 | High WAR 4.2, OF Scott Van Slyke, 14th rd
2006 | 2 to MLB | WAR 67.1 | High WAR 64.6, LHP Clayton Kershaw, 1st rd
2007 | 2 to MLB | WAR 1.0 | High WAR 1.5, RHP Chris Winthrow, 1st rd
2008 | 8 to MLB | WAR 17.1 | High WAR 11.4, SS Dee Gordon, 4th rd
2009 | 2 to MLB | WAR 0.0 | High WAR 0.0, OF Blake Smith (2nd rd) & RHP Steve Ames (17th rd)
2010 | 6 to MLB | WAR 11.3 | High WAR 7.5, OF Joc Pederson, 11th rd
2011 | 4 to MLB | WAR (0.2) | High WAR 0.1, RHP Scott Barlow, 6th rd
2012 | 8 to MLB | WAR 19.3 | High WAR 13.7, SS Corey Seager, 1st rd
2013 | 5 to MLB | WAR 6.5 | High WAR 8.3, 1B Cody Bellinger, 4th rd
2014 | 5 to MLB | WAR (0.9) | High WAR 0.3, LHP Caleb Ferguson, 38th rd
2015 | 2 to MLB | WAR 2.7 | High WAR 3.3, RHP Walker Buehler, 1st rd
2016 | 0 to MLB | WAR 0.0 | High WAR N/A
2017 | 0 to MLB | WAR 0.0 | High WAR N/A

The highest WAR to date, both individual and total, is from 2006 with LHP Clayton Kershaw (1st round, 64.6 WAR)  providing the most bang for the buck. The only other signed player from that draft class to make it to the bigs was RHP Bryan Morris (1st round, 2.5 WAR) but Morris was traded to Pittsburgh in a three-team, six-player July 2008 trade prior to making his MLB debut. Kershaw has been with the Dodgers for his entire career (11 seasons to date) and has received seven All-Star nods, one National League MVP (2014) and one NL Gold Glove (2011). In addition, Kershaw has been awarded the NL Cy Young Award three times (2011, 2013, 2014).

2018 DRAFT
40 Drafted | 32 Signed | 13 Pitchers | 19 Position Players
25 College | 25 Signed | 10 Pitchers | 15 Position Players
8 JC/CC | 5 Signed | 1 Pitcher | 4 Position Players
7 HS/NS | 2 Signed | 2 Pitchers | 0 Position Players

Notable: The Dodgers failed to sign three of their top 16 picks, most notably first round pick Mississippi HS RHP J.T. Ginn.

PITCHERS
Of the 13 pitchers signed (8 RHP, 5 LHP), all but two (2nd round college right-hander Michael Grove and junior college lefty Julian Smith, 15th round) logged at least some playing time. Five of these pitchers were promoted beyond the Short Season A* level (all to Full Season A). Three of the pitchers debuted on MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospect list for the Dodgers. (Another 2018 draft pick, 2nd rounder RHP Josiah Gray who was obtained from the Reds in a December 2018 trade, also appears on the Dodgers Top 30 prospect list.) One pitcher, 20th round RHP Caleb Sampen, was traded to the Rays in January 2019.

Top Prospects

RHP Michael Grove, 2nd round, West Virginia University, DNP

LHP John Rooney, 3rd round, Hofstra University, A
20 IP | 8 G / 8 GS | 1.80 ERA | 1.100 WHIP | 8 BB : 21 K

RHP Braydon Fisher, 4th round, Clear Falls HS (TX), Rk
22 IP | 11 G / 9 GS | 2.05 ERA | 1.364 WHIP | 9 BB : 19 K

Noteworthy Debut

LHP Austin Drury, 34th round, University of North Florida, A
29.2 IP | 17 G / 0 GS | 1.21 ERA | 0.809 WHIP | 6 BB : 28 K

In total, the Dodgers 2018 Draft pitchers combined for a 3.65 ERA and a 1.306 WHIP over 285.2 innings as compared to the 3.67 ERA and 1.299 WHIP (average of 376.2 innings per affiliate) compiled by the total 2018 Draft class in 2018.

POSITION PLAYERS
All 19 position players signed (2 1B, 2 2B, 3B, SS, 10 OF, 3 C) logged at least some playing time. Seven of the players were promoted beyond the Short Season A* level (all to Full Season A). None of the position players debuted on MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospect list for the Dodgers.

Noteworthy Debut

OF Drew Avans (L/L), 33rd round, Southeastern Louisiana University, A
60 G | .284/.386/.502/.888 | 35 BB : 43 K | 20 SB : 5 CS | 6 2B / 5 3B / 10 HR | 51 RBI

OF Matt Cogen (L/R), 30th round, Belmont University, A
56 G | .313/.403/.550/.953 | 29 BB : 39 K | 11 2B / 6 3B / 9 HR | 53 RBI
(Cogen only played in two games at Full Season A)

1B Dillon Paulson (L/L), 13th round, University of Southern California, Rk
58 G | .272/.385/.522/.908 | 42 BB : 51 K | 20 2B / 3 3B / 10 HR | 61 RBI
(Paulson led the entire 2018 Draft class in RBI)

In total, the Dodgers 2018 Draft position players combined to hit .275/.367/.433/.800 as compared to .261/.349/.386/.735 batting line compiled by the total 2018 Draft class in 2018.

*Notes on players include the highest level achieved for the 2018 season using the following abbreviations:
Rk = Rookie
SSA = Short Season A
A = Full Season A
A+ = Full Season A Advanced

GENERAL NOTES: Information was obtained from Baseball-Reference and the MLB Draft History site. The occasional discrepancy in historical information was resolved to the best of my ability by delving into the player information available on B-R. On the historical information, the player position in the totals reflects the position at which the player was drafted (and not any subsequent change of position). On the 2018 information, the player position reflects the primary position played in 2018 for all players who were signed and the position at which the player was drafted for those who did not sign. Prospect listings on MLB Pipeline were as of late December and may not reflect any subsequent changes to that site.

PREVIOUSLY

NL EAST
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
NL East 2018 Draft Summary

NL CENTRAL
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
NL Central 2018 Draft Summary

NL WEST
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies

COMING NEXT
San Diego Padres

Tuesday, January 22, 2019

MLB Draft Deep Dive: Colorado Rockies

In order to satisfy my innate curiosity as it pertains to the MLB Draft, I have taken a comprehensive look at the 2018 draft for each of the 30 MLB organizations. But I also wanted to get an idea of what each of the teams had done for the 20 years prior so that is included as a prelude to the 2018 information. I'll be looking first at each team in each division, starting with the National League East, and then I'll follow up with a an overall look at both the historical draft results to date and the early 2018 results.

My goal is to get a better idea of the big picture as to how the systems compare in terms of draft results, as well as how a good or bad draft class affects a system, the overall impact of the draft on the baseball talent pool and the circuitous ways in which draft picks are used to bolster a system for which they may never even play. This project is just a first step. I intend to expand on this information over time (including a later revisit of the 2018 class and the addition of the 2019 class next offseason) and I will share my findings as I do so.

NATIONAL LEAGUE WEST

COLORADO ROCKIES

Historical Draft Results from 1998 through 2017 (TO DATE)
Drafted 952 | Signed 592 | Pitchers Signed 319 | Position Players Signed 273
Total WAR 327.8
Total Players to MLB 88

Note: The following players are listed at the position at which they were originally drafted.

1998 | 8 to MLB | WAR 68.9 | High WAR 44.8, 3B Matt Holliday, 7th rd
1999 | 4 to MLB | WAR 15.8 | High WAR 11.2, RHP Jason Jennings, 1st rd
2000 | 9 to MLB | WAR 23.0 | High WAR 15.6, SS Clint Barmes, 10th rd
2001 | 2 to MLB | WAR 2.8 | High WAR 1.9, SS Jayson Nix, 1st rd
2002 | 7 to MLB | WAR 11.2 | High WAR 9.6, LHP Jeff Francis, 1st rd
2003 | 3 to MLB | WAR 5.2 | High WAR 3.0, 3B Ian Stewart, 1st rd
2004 | 12 to MLB | WAR 44.2 | High WAR 17.9, OF Dexter Fowler, 14th rd
2005 | 2 to MLB | WAR 45.4 | High WAR 44.1, SS Troy Tulowitzski, 1st rd
2006 | 3 to MLB | WAR 6.4 | High WAR 5.6, RHP Will Harris, 9th rd
2007 | 3 to MLB | WAR (1.7) | High WAR 2.7, LHP Matt Reynolds, 20th rd
2008 | 3 to MLB | WAR 15.0 | High WAR 16.1, OF Charlie Blackmon, 2nd rd
2009 | 6 to MLB | WAR 41.4 | High WAR 33.1, 3B Nolan Arenado, 2nd rd
2010 | 6 to MLB | WAR 12.4 | High WAR 12.6, OF Corey Dickerson, 8th rd
2011 | 4 to MLB | WAR 19.6 | High WAR 11.4, SS Trevor Story, 1st rd
2012 | 5 to MLB | WAR 1.4 | High WAR 2.5, RHP Scott Oberg, 15th rd
2013 | 6 to MLB | WAR 4.6 | High WAR 6.6, RHP Jon Gray, 1st rd
2014 | 4 to MLB | WAR 11.9 | High WAR 11.5, LHP Kyle Freeland, 1st rd
2015 | 0 to MLB | WAR 0.0 | High WAR N/A
2016 | 1 to MLB | WAR 0.3 | High WAR 0.3, SS Garrett Hampson, 3rd rd
2017 | 0 to MLB | WAR 0.0 | High WAR N/A

The highest WAR to date, both individual and total, is from 1998 with OF Matt Holliday leading the way. Holliday started his MLB career with the Rockies (2004 through 2008) before being traded to Oakland for OF Carlos GonzalezRHP Huston Street and LHP Greg Smith. The value that the Rockies received in that trade (mostly due to Gonzalez's long tenure with the Rockies) worked out to be fairly equivalent to their loss of Holliday. Holliday was a three-time All-Star and three-time Silver Slugger during his time with the Rockies. After only a short time with Oakland, Holliday was traded to the Cardinals where he continued to have success for several years. Most recently Holliday re-signed with the Rockies as a free agent in July 2018. He is currently a free agent.

After Holliday, the two most productive players from the Rockies 1998 Draft class are OF Juan Pierre (13th round, 17.1 WAR) and OF Jody Gerut (2nd round, 7.2 WAR). Gerut never played for the Rockies, having been traded to the Indians in 2001, but Pierre played for Colorado from 2000 through 2002 before being traded to the Marlins.

Nipping at Holliday's heels for high individual WAR is SS Troy Tulowitski (1st round, 2005, 44.1 WAR). Tulowitzki played for the Rockies for 10 seasons prior to his July 2015 trade to the Blue Jays. He was a five-time All-Star, earning two Gold Gloves and two Silver Sluggers during his time with Colorado.

2018 DRAFT
41 Drafted | 33 Signed | 18 Pitchers | 15 Position Players
31 College | 31 Signed | 18 Pitchers | 13 Position Players
2 JC/CC | 1 Signed | 0 Pitchers | 1 Position Player
8 HS/NS | 1 Signed | 0 Pitchers | 1 Position Player

Notable: The Rockies received one additional draft pick for Competitive Balance (Round A). They forfeited their second round pick for signing free agent RHP Wade Davis, but that was offset by a second round compensation pick awarded to them for losing free agent RHP Greg Holland to the Cardinals. Colorado signed all of their top 33 picks. The first miss was 33rd round Florida HS RHP Nick Pogue.

PITCHERS
Of the 18 pitchers signed (10 RHP, 8 LHP), all but two (college right-handers Mitchell Kilkenny, 2nd round and Andrew Quezada, 7th round) logged at least some playing time. None of these players were promoted beyond the Short Season A* level. One player debuted on MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospect list for the Rockies, in the Top 10.

Top Prospects

🔟 LHP Ryan Rolison, 1st round, University of Mississippi, Rk
29 IP | 9 G / 9 GS | 1.86 ERA | 0.793 WHIP | 8 BB : 34 K

🔟 Top 10 Prospect

Noteworthy Debut

RHP Ryan Feltner, 4th round, The Ohio State University, Rk
30.2 IP | 9 G / 9 GS | 0.88 ERA | 0.652 WHIP | 4 BB : 39 K

In total, the Rockies 2018 Draft pitchers combined for a 3.70 ERA and a 1.322 WHIP over 435.2 innings as compared to the 3.67 ERA and 1.299 WHIP (average of 376.2 innings per affiliate) compiled by the total 2018 Draft class in 2018.

POSITION PLAYERS
All but one the 15 position players signed (1B, 4 2B, 2 3B, SS, 5 OF, 2 C) logged at least some playing time, with the exception being 25th round college 2B Robbie Metz. None of the players were promoted beyond the Short Season A* level. Two of the position players debuted on MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospect list for the Rockies, one as a Top 10 prospect.

Top Prospects

🔟 1B Grant Lavigne (L/R), 1st round, Bedford HS (NH), Rk
59 G | .350/.477/.519/.996 | 45 BB : 40 K

SS Terrin Vavra (L/R), 3rd round, University of Minnesota, SSA
44 G | .302/.396/.467/.863 | 26 BB : 40 K

🔟 Top 10 Prospect

Noteworthy Debut

There were actually quite a few noteworthy debuts, but my enthusiasm is somewhat tempered by the lack of promotion of these college players.

OF Niko Decolati (R/R), 6th round, Loyola Marymount University, Rk
69 G | .327/.414/.532/.947 | 34 BB : 56 K | 15 2B / 3 3B / 11 HR | 56 RBI

2B Coco Montes (R/R), 15th round, University of South Florida, Rk
69 G | .333/.413/.513/.926 | 35 BB : 69 K | 18 2B / 3 3B / 8 HR | 42 RBI

In total, the Rockies 2018 Draft position players combined to hit .291/.371/.479/.850 as compared to .261/.349/.386/.735 batting line compiled by the total 2018 Draft class in 2018.

*Notes on players include the highest level achieved for the 2018 season using the following abbreviations:
Rk = Rookie
SSA = Short Season A
A = Full Season A
A+ = Full Season A Advanced

GENERAL NOTES: Information was obtained from Baseball-Reference and the MLB Draft History site. The occasional discrepancy in historical information was resolved to the best of my ability by delving into the player information available on B-R. On the historical information, the player position in the totals reflects the position at which the player was drafted (and not any subsequent change of position). On the 2018 information, the player position reflects the primary position played in 2018 for all players who were signed and the position at which the player was drafted for those who did not sign. Prospect listings on MLB Pipeline were as of late December and may not reflect any subsequent changes to that site.

PREVIOUSLY

NL EAST
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
NL East 2018 Draft Summary

NL CENTRAL
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
NL Central 2018 Draft Summary

NL WEST
Arizona Diamondbacks

COMING NEXT
Los Angeles Dodgers

Monday, January 21, 2019

MLB Draft Deep Dive: Arizona Diamondbacks

In order to satisfy my innate curiosity as it pertains to the MLB Draft, I have taken a comprehensive look at the 2018 draft for each of the 30 MLB organizations. But I also wanted to get an idea of what each of the teams had done for the 20 years prior so that is included as a prelude to the 2018 information. I'll be looking first at each team in each division, starting with the National League East, and then I'll follow up with a an overall look at both the historical draft results to date and the early 2018 results.

My goal is to get a better idea of the big picture as to how the systems compare in terms of draft results, as well as how a good or bad draft class affects a system, the overall impact of the draft on the baseball talent pool and the circuitous ways in which draft picks are used to bolster a system for which they may never even play. This project is just a first step. I intend to expand on this information over time (including a later revisit of the 2018 class and the addition of the 2019 class next offseason) and I will share my findings as I do so.

NATIONAL LEAGUE WEST

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

Historical Draft Results from 1998 through 2017 (TO DATE)
Drafted 954 | Signed 656 | Pitchers Signed 315 | Position Players Signed 341
Total WAR 400.2
Total Players to MLB 104

Note: The following players are listed at the position at which they were originally drafted.

1998 | 6 to MLB | WAR 12.6 | High WAR 8.1, LHP Javier Lopez, 4th rd
1999 | 5 to MLB | WAR 23.8 | High WAR 16.8, 1B Lyle Overbay, 18th rd
2000 | 8 to MLB | WAR 30.9 | High WAR 31.0, RHP Brandon Webb, 8th rd
2001 | 6 to MLB | WAR 32.3 | High WAR 17.5, 2B Dan Uggla, 11th rd
2002 | 5 to MLB | WAR 5.3 | High WAR 4.5, C Chris Snyder, 2nd rd
2003 | 4 to MLB | WAR 12.9 | High WAR 10.4, OF Carlos Quentin, 1st rd
2004 | 6 to MLB | WAR 25.2 | High WAR 17.1, SS Stephen Drew, 1st rd
2005 | 4 to MLB | WAR 40.3 | High WAR 35.0, SS Justin Upton, 1st rd
2006 | 9 to MLB | WAR 63.6 | High WAR 54.5, RHP Max Scherzer, 1st rd
2007 | 9 to MLB | WAR 15.0 | High WAR 7.1, RHP Josh Collmenter, 15th rd
2008 | 6 to MLB | WAR 18.5 | High WAR 9.2, LHP Wade Miley, 1st rd
2009 | 12 to MLB | WAR 70.5 | High WAR 40.1, 1B Paul Goldschmidt, 8th rd
2010 | 5 to MLB | WAR 14.3 | High WAR 17.4, OF Adam Eaton, 19th rd
2011 | 5 to MLB | WAR 21.5 | High WAR 14.2, RHP Trevor Bauer, 1st rd
2012 | 3 to MLB | WAR 7.5 | High WAR 6.4, 3B Jake Lamb, 6th rd
2013 | 7 to MLB | WAR 3.1 | High WAR 3.6, RHP Brad Keller, 8th rd
2014 | 2 to MLB | WAR 0.2 | High WAR 0.3, RHP Touki Toussaint, 1st rd
2015 | 2 to MLB | WAR 2.7 | High WAR 2.9, SS Dansby Swanson, 1st rd
2016 | 0 to MLB | WAR 0.0 | High WAR N/A
2017 | 0 to MLB | WAR 0.0 | High WAR N/A

The highest WAR to date is that of RHP Max Scherzer (2006, 1st round, 54.5 WAR). Scherzer appeared in 46 games for the D'Backs between 2008 and 2009 (2.7 WAR) before being included in a three-team trade in December 2009 that sent Scherzer to the Tigers. The Diamondbacks ended up with a half season of RHP Edwin Jackson (0.2 WAR) and three and a half seasons of RHP Ian Kennedy (8.9 WAR) when all was said and done. Factoring in the players received when Jackson and Kennedy were traded doesn't alter the landscape very much and the trade looks very, very lopsided in retrospect. Scherzer broke through in a big way in 2013, winning the American League Cy Young Award that year. He has been named to the All-Star team every year from 2013 through 2018 and won two additional Cy Young Awards in 2016 and 2017 for the Nationals.

The high total WAR was in 2009, thanks in large part to the success of 1B Paul Goldscmidt (2009, 8th round, 40.1 WAR). Goldschmidt made his debut for Arizona in 2011 and played in eight seasons for the Diamondbacks prior to his December 2018 trade to the Cardinals. Goldschmidt was an All-Star from 2013 through 2018 and earned four Silver Sluggers and three Gold Gloves for the D'Backs. 11 other players from that 2009 Draft Class made it to the bigs with the second most productive player being OF A. J. Pollock (1st round, 20.0 WAR). Pollock has spent his entire career to date with Arizona and is currently a free agent.

2018 DRAFT
41 Drafted | 29 Signed | 18 Pitchers | 11 Position Players
31 College | 26 Signed | 17 Pitchers | 9 Position Players
2 JC/CC | 0 Signed | 0 Pitchers | 0 Position Players
8 HS/NS | 3 Signed | 1 Pitcher | 2 Position Players

Notable: The Diamondbacks received one additional draft pick for Competitive Balance (Round A). Arizona failed to sign their top pick (California HS SS Matt McLain), but signed the next 23 picks.

PITCHERS
Of the 18 pitchers signed (17 RHP, 1 LHP), all but one (college lefty Tyler Holton, 9th round) logged at least some playing time. Only one player was promoted beyond the Short Season A* level (to Full Season A). Three of the pitchers debuted on MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospect list for the Diamondbacks.

Top Prospects

RHP Jackson Goddard, 3rd round, University of Kansas, SSA
29 IP | 14 G / 13 GS | 4.03 ERA | 1.069 WHIP | 12 BB : 27 K

RHP Matt Mercer, 5th round, University of Oregon, SSA
29 IP | 13 G / 13 GS | 3.10 ERA | 0.966 WHIP | 7 BB : 38 K

RHP Levi Kelly, 8th round, IMG Academy (FL), Rk
6 IP | 4 G / 4 GS | 0.00 ERA | 0.833 WHIP | 2 BB : 6 K

Noteworthy Debut

RHP Kyler Stout, 18th round, Oral Roberts University, A
32.1 IP | 23 G / 0 GS | 2.23 ERA | 1.206 WHIP | 17 BB : 53 K | 6 Saves

In total, the Diamondbacks 2018 Draft pitchers combined for a 3.09 ERA and a 1.230 WHIP over 422 innings as compared to the 3.67 ERA and 1.299 WHIP (average of 376.2 innings per affiliate) compiled by the total 2018 Draft class in 2018.

POSITION PLAYERS
All 11 position players signed (2 1B, 2 2B, 3B, 2 SS, 2 OF, 2 C) logged at least some playing time. None of the players were promoted beyond the Short Season A* level. Three of the position players debuted on MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospect list for the Diamondbacks, two as Top 10 prospects.

Top Prospects

🔟 OF Jake McCarthy (L/L), 1st round, University of Virginia, SSA
58 G | .288/.375/.443/.818 | 23 BB : 41 K | 21 SB : 8 CS | 17 2B / 4 3B / 3 HR

🔟 OF Alek Thomas (L/L), 2nd round, Mount Carmel HS (IL), Rk
56 G | .333/.395/.463/.858 | 24 BB : 37 K | 12 SB : 5 CS | 14 2B / 6 3B / 2 HR

SS Blaze Alexander (R/R), 11th round, IMG Academy (FL), Rk
55 G | .329/.417/.538/.955 | 31 BB : 52 K | 10 SB : 3 CS | 19 2B / 5 3B / 5 HR

🔟 Top 10 Prospect

Noteworthy Debut

1B Zack Shannon (R/R), 15th round, Delta State University, Rk
54 G | .354/.439/.677/1.116 | 28 BB : 43 K | 17 2B / 3B / 14 HR | 55 RBI

In total, the Diamondbacks 2018 Draft position players combined to hit .288/.374/.440/.815 as compared to .261/.349/.386/.735 batting line compiled by the total 2018 Draft class in 2018.

*Notes on players include the highest level achieved for the 2018 season using the following abbreviations:
Rk = Rookie
SSA = Short Season A
A = Full Season A
A+ = Full Season A Advanced

GENERAL NOTES: Information was obtained from Baseball-Reference and the MLB Draft History site. The occasional discrepancy in historical information was resolved to the best of my ability by delving into the player information available on B-R. On the historical information, the player position in the totals reflects the position at which the player was drafted (and not any subsequent change of position). On the 2018 information, the player position reflects the primary position played in 2018 for all players who were signed and the position at which the player was drafted for those who did not sign. Prospect listings on MLB Pipeline were as of late December and may not reflect any subsequent changes to that site.

PREVIOUSLY

NL EAST
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
NL East 2018 Draft Summary

NL CENTRAL
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
NL Central 2018 Draft Summary

COMING NEXT
Colorado Rockies