Showing posts with label Oakland Athletics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Oakland Athletics. Show all posts

Saturday, February 16, 2019

AL West 2018 Draft Summary

In conjunction with the MLB Draft Deep Dive series that I've been rolling out over the last few weeks (see links below), the following is a down and dirty summary of the early 2018 draft results for the AL West.

AMERICAN LEAGUE WEST 2018 DRAFT SUMMARY

PITCHING

Pitcher Breakdown
LAA: 20 Signed | 16 C | 4 HS/NS | 18 RHP | 2 LHP
TEX: 19 Signed | 9 C | 3 JC/CC | 7 HS | 16 RHP | 3 LHP
HOU: 16 Signed | 15 C | 1 HS | 15 RHP | 1 LHP
OAK: 16 Signed | 15 C | 1 JC/CC | 14 RHP | 2 LHP
SEA: 16 Signed | 11 C | 3 JC/CC | 2 HS | 11 RHP | 5 LHP

Cumulative Stats for 2018 Draft Class (Pitchers)
HOU: 2.74 ERA | 1.207 WHIP | 364.2 IP | 16 Active Pitchers
TEX: 3.27 ERA | 1.201 WHIP | 170.2 IP | 9 Active Pitchers
OAK: 3.57 ERA | 1.314 WHIP | 368.1 IP | 14 Active Pitchers
SEA: 4.44 ERA | 1.378 WHIP | 316.1 IP | 15 Active Pitchers
LAA: 4.63 ERA | 1.399 WHIP | 281.2 IP | 12 Active Pitchers

Position Player Breakdown
OAK: 19 Signed | 17 C | 1 JC/CC | 1 HS | 2 1B | 2 2B | 4 3B | SS | 7 OF | 3 C
SEA: 18 Signed | 18 C | 1B | 3 2B | 3 3B | 2 SS | 6 OF | 3 C
HOU: 14 Signed | 13 C | 1 JC/CC | 1B | 2B | 3B | 2 SS | 7 OF | 2 C
TEX: 12 Signed | 6 C | 2 JC/CC | 4 HS | 2 2B | 2 3B | 3 SS | 2 OF | 3 C
LAA: 9* Signed | 3 C | 1 JC/CC | 5 HS | 2B | 3B | 2 SS | 4 OF | C

*One additional position player may be added to the totals to account for two-way player RHP/OF/DH William English; he has already been included in the pitching totals for the Angels.

Cumulative Stats for 2018 Draft Class (Position Players)
SEA: .263/.346/.386/.732 | 18 Active Players
TEX: .253/.339/.347/.686 | 11 Active Players
OAK: .243/.339/.343/.682 | 18 Active Players
LAA: .239/.317/.350/.667 | 9 Active Players
HOU: .232/.324/.362/.686 | 14 Active Players

MLB Pipeline Top 30 Prospects
OAK: 5 total (C LHP, C 1B, C SS, 2 C OF*)
HOU: 4 total (HS RHP, C SS, C OF* C OF)
TEX: 4 total (HS RHP*, 2 HS RHP, HS 3B)
LAA: 3 total (HS RHP/OF, HS SS, HS OF*)
SEA: 3 total (C RHP* C RHP, C C)

*Top 10

AL WEST DRAFT CLASS NOTES: PITCHERS

My biggest takeaway from this group is that the Rangers pitchers appear to be the furthest away from helping at the big league level. Not only did they draft a high number of high school and juco pitchers, but a large number of them did not play at all in 2018. Those that did pitch logged the fewest number of innings per pitcher of this group as well. It is a high risk/high reward class with three high school pitchers in the Rangers Top 30 prospects, but we won't find out for a while whether risk or reward will win out. With that said, the Rangers did have some interesting college players in the mix who got off to very good starts. The Angels also had quite a few players who did not play in 2018, but they did have a couple of top 10 round college players who advanced to Full Season A (while the remainder of the class was held back in rookie league). The Angels pitchers weren't able to capitalize on playing against that lower level of competition, though, and the cumulative numbers for the lower round draft picks were not optimal. Houston had the best numbers from the group and, although many of these mostly college players didn't log a lot of innings, most were challenged to the Short Season A level. This class appears to be very deep based on these initial results. Oakland also promoted a good number of players beyond the rookie league level and showed a lot of strength in the lower rounds of the draft. However, the A's top pitching prospect did not play in 2018 and the other pitchers from the top 10 rounds had mixed results. The Mariners top pitching prospect was also missing in action in 2018 and their next highest pick was traded in the offseason. Another lower round pick, one who pitched the most innings from the Seattle group and was promoted to Advanced A, was traded as well. The Mariners were aggressive in promoting some of their lower round players with mostly good results and had the Mariners not traded two of their more promising prospects, I would have liked this group more. Because of that, I will give Houston a slight edge based on initial results. However, my enthusiasm is somewhat tempered by the lack of promotion and the relatively limited number of innings for some of these pitchers in 2018.

AL WEST DRAFT CLASS NOTES: POSITION PLAYERS

The Astros weren't as reluctant to promote their position players as they were their pitchers. As a matter of fact, they were very aggressive and that played out well at the top of the pecking order, but not as well further down the draft. But I like that these almost exclusively college players were exposed to a higher level of competition early in their careers. Both the Angels and the Rangers went heavy on high school and juco players, making it hard to find much relevance in their initial results. It will likely be a couple of years before one can start to really get a handle on the strength of those draft classes. Oakland, however, drafted mostly college players. The A's class had solid results overall at the top of the class and really solid results in the later rounds as well, but they get dinged for (apparently) losing first round pick OF Kyler Murray to the NFL, although they are still reportedly pursuing Murray. The Mariners were 100% college on their position player draft picks and the class performed strongly. Seattle also lost a top player (to an offseason trade), but I still like the early depth of the Mariners class as a whole. However, even without Murray, Oakland probably has a slight edge right now with the shorter term potential of their highly ranked college prospects while the Angels and Rangers have some intriguing longer term potential with their younger prospects.

Houston Astros Draft Review
Los Angeles Angels Draft Review
Oakland Athletics Draft Review
Seattle Mariners Draft Review
Texas Rangers Draft Review

Wednesday, February 13, 2019

MLB Draft Deep Dive: Oakland Athletics

In order to satisfy my innate curiosity as it pertains to the MLB Draft, I have taken a comprehensive look at the 2018 draft for each of the 30 MLB organizations. But I also wanted to get an idea of what each of the teams had done for the 20 years prior so that is included as a prelude to the 2018 information. I'll be looking first at each team in each division, starting with the National League East, and then I'll follow up with a an overall look at both the historical draft results to date and the early 2018 results.

My goal is to get a better idea of the big picture as to how the systems compare in terms of draft results, as well as how a good or bad draft class affects a system, the overall impact of the draft on the baseball talent pool and the circuitous ways in which draft picks are used to bolster a system for which they may never even play. This project is just a first step. I intend to expand on this information over time (including a later revisit of the 2018 class and the addition of the 2019 class next offseason) and I will share my findings as I do so.

AMERICAN LEAGUE WEST

OAKLAND ATHLETICS

Historical Draft Results from 1998 through 2017 (TO DATE)
Drafted 889 | Signed 601 | Pitchers Signed 314 | Position Players Signed 287
Total WAR 341.2
Total Players to MLB 93

Note: The following players are listed at the position at which they were originally drafted.

1998 | 6 to MLB | WAR 35.8 | High WAR 20.1, LHP Mark Mulder, 1st rd
1999 | 4 to MLB | WAR 42.6 | High WAR 32.0, LHP Barry Zito, 1st rd
2000 | 5 to MLB | WAR 16.9 | High WAR 17.7, RHP Rich Harden, 17th rd
2001 | 8 to MLB | WAR 17.6 | High WAR 5.4, SS Bobby Crosby, 1st rd
2002 | 8 to MLB | WAR 42.2 | High WAR 22.0, 1B Nick Swisher, 1st rd
2003 | 2 to MLB | WAR 20.4 | High WAR 21.2, OF Andre Ethier, 2nd rd
2004 | 11 to MLB | WAR 41.4 | High WAR 19.9, C Kurt Suzuki, 2nd rd
2005 | 7 to MLB | WAR 15.2 | High WAR 10.3, SS Cliff Pennington, 1st rd
2006 | 2 to MLB | WAR 17.3 | High WAR 11.4, RHP Trevor Cahill, 2nd rd
2007 | 4 to MLB | WAR 7.8 | High WAR 8.4, 1B Sean Doolittle, 1st rd
2008 | 4 to MLB | WAR 9.0 | High WAR 7.3, RHP Tyson Ross, 2nd rd
2009 | 6 to MLB | WAR 5.9 | High WAR 6.4, RHP Dan Straily, 24th rd
2010 | 3 to MLB | WAR 3.5 | High WAR 5.7, RHP A.J. Griffin, 13th rd
2011 | 4 to MLB | WAR 21.6 | High WAR 12.9, RHP Sonny Gray, 1st rd
2012 | 7 to MLB | WAR 29.0 | High WAR 12.0, SS Addison Russell, 1st rd
2013 | 8 to MLB | WAR 3.5 | High WAR 3.0, SS Chad Pinder, 2nd rd
2014 | 4 to MLB | WAR 11.5 | High WAR 11.7, 3B Matt Chapman, 1st rd
2015 | 0 to MLB | WAR 0.0 | High WAR N/A
2016 | 0 to MLB | WAR 0.0 | High WAR N/A
2017 | 0 to MLB | WAR 0.0 | High WAR N/A

The highest WAR to date, both total and individual, is from 1999. Oakland definitely got good bang for their buck from LHP Barry Zito (1st round, 32.0 WAR). His first seven seasons with the A's produced 30.6 of his 32.0 total WAR, three All-Star nods and an American League Cy Young Award in 2002. Zito left the A's via free agency, but was not nearly so successful in his seven years with the Giants (2007 through 2013). He did, however, earn two World Series rings (2010, 2012) with San Francisco although he was left off the postseason roster in 2010. After a year off in 2014, Zito signed a minor league contract with Oakland in 2015, making his way back to the A's for three final appearances toward the end of the season before retiring that offseason. The second most productive member of that Oakland 1999 class was OF Ryan Ludwick (2nd round, 11.2 WAR), but he never played for the A's. He was traded in January 2002 (along with three other players) to the Rangers for 1B Carlos Pena and LHP Mike Venafro.

2018 DRAFT
41 Drafted | 35 Signed | 16 Pitchers | 19 Position Players
33 College | 32 Signed | 15 Pitchers | 17 Position Players
3 JC/CC | 2 Signed | 1 Pitcher | 1 Position Player
5 HS/NS | 1 Signed | 0 Pitchers | 1 Position Player

Notable: The A's received one additional draft pick for Competitive Balance (Round B). Oakland signed their top 24 picks and 34 of their top 35 with their top holdout being 24th round RHP Dakota Mills, Sam Houston State.

PITCHERS
All but two of the 16 pitchers signed (14 RHP, 2 LHP) logged at least some playing time. Two of these pitchers were promoted beyond the Short Season A* level, both to Full Season A. One pitcher debuted on MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospect list for the A's. 13th round RHP Dallas Woolfolk was placed on the restricted list in December after testing positive for amphetamine.

Top Prospects

LHP Hogan Harris, 3rd round, University of Louisiana at Lafayette, DNP

Noteworthy Debut

RHP Gus Varland, 14th round, Concordia University - St. Paul, A
38 IP | 13 G / 11 GS | 0.95 ERA | 0.816 WHIP | 8 BB : 50 K

In total, the Oakland 2018 Draft pitchers combined for a 3.57 ERA and a 1.314 WHIP over 368.1 innings as compared to the 3.67 ERA and 1.299 WHIP (average of 376.2 innings per affiliate) compiled by the total 2018 Draft class in 2018.

POSITION PLAYERS
All but one of the 19 position players signed (2 1B, 2 2B, 4 3B, SS, 7 OF, 3 C) logged at least some playing time. Three players were promoted beyond the Short Season A* level, two to Advanced A and one to AAA. (The AAA promotion for 2B Nick Ward was for the final two games of the season and the player was pulled up from rookie ball so I'm considering that a fill in rather than a promotion, but speaks well of the system's confidence in that player's defensive abilities.) Four players debuted on MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospect list for the A's, two as Top 10 prospects. 38th round OF Austin Piscotty voluntarily retired in July 2018. First round pick OF Kyler Murray recently opted to play football over baseball, at least for now, but the A's retain his baseball rights and will continue to pursue him.

Top Prospects

🔟 OF Kyler Murray (R/R), 1st round, University of Oklahoma, DNP

🔟 OF Jameson Hannah (L/L), 2nd round, Dallas Baptist University, SSA
23 G | .279/.347/.384/.731 | 9 BB : 24 K

SS Jeremy Eierman (R/R), 2nd round, Missouri State University, SSA
62 G | .235/.283/.381/.664 | 13 BB : 70 K

1B Alfonso Rivas (L/L), 4th round, University of Arizona, SSA
61 G | .285/.397/.383/.780 | 36 BB : 44 K | 7 SB : 4 CS | 16 2B / 3B / HR

🔟 Top 10 Prospect

Noteworthy Debut

3B Jonah Bride (R/R), 23rd round, University of South Carolina, SSA
56 G | .280/.368/.410/.778 | 24 BB : 36 K | 17 2B / 3 HR

In total, the Oakland 2018 Draft position players combined to hit .243/.339/.343/.682 as compared to .261/.349/.386/.735 batting line compiled by the total 2018 Draft class in 2018.

*Notes on players include the highest level achieved for the 2018 season using the following abbreviations:
Rk = Rookie
SSA = Short Season A
A = Full Season A
A+ = Full Season A Advanced

GENERAL NOTES: Information was obtained from Baseball-Reference and the MLB Draft History site. The occasional discrepancy in historical information was resolved to the best of my ability by delving into the player information available on B-R. On the historical information, the player position in the totals reflects the position at which the player was drafted (and not any subsequent change of position). On the 2018 information, the player position reflects the primary position played in 2018 for all players who were signed and the position at which the player was drafted for those who did not sign. Prospect listings on MLB Pipeline were as of early January and may not reflect any subsequent changes to that site.

PREVIOUSLY

NL EAST
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
NL East 2018 Draft Summary

NL CENTRAL
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
NL Central 2018 Draft Summary

NL WEST
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
NL West 2018 Draft Summary

AL EAST
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
AL East 2018 Draft Summary

AL CENTRAL
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
AL Central 2018 Draft Summary

AL WEST
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels

COMING NEXT
Seattle Mariners